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My Latest Mock Draft
This mock is seven rounds, although only five were done with care. I am not including potential trades at this time and it would take too long to write explanations. This was updated on Sunday the 16th of January after the underclassman declaration dedline.
When you’re picking at #1 you take a franchise QB, even if it isn’t a massive need. Smith goes before Rodgers because he has superior physical tools.
A QB is still here possible here, although very unlikely due to
When your QB situation is a mess you go with the potential franchise guy.
Braylon Edwards is the better player, but the Bears experience with
The most likely scenario for the Bucs taking a RB is via a trade down. This would then give them an extra second rounder or future pick to fill other needs such as OT, SS and WR depth.
With Andre Dyson as good as gone the Titans take his replacement. Samari Rolle could leave soon too and Andre Woolfolk cannot stay healthy. Rolle is also the BPA.
After workouts I am confident that Merriman will be a certain top ten pick. This kid is by far the best LB/DE tweener in the draft and fills the Raiders 3-4 OLB need perfectly.
The Cardinals take the last of the franchise backs. Emmitt must be close to retirement now and Shipp hasn’t proved he’s more than a backup.
With the franchise QBs gone and no DE really worthy of this pick the Skins go with Braylon Edwards, the best receiver in this draft and another weapon to help Ramsey. Both lines need to be addressed later.
I am pretty confident that Tuck will be the #1 4-3 DE by draft day. His mix of excellent height and pure speed will make him an exciting and dangerous player opposite James Hall. Thomas Davis would also get a look here.
While LB is one of
The Chargers steal a legitimate LT to play Opposite Roman Oben. Shane Olivea will be used in the rotation and will be Oben’s successor.
SS is probably the Texans biggest overall need, it just depends on whether the Texans feel they need to spend a first rounder on it. It should all depend on
The Panthers OL has been a major issue all year after the big loses after the Super Bowl. Terry can pair with Jordon Gross to give them Panthers an awesome pair of book ends for the next 7-8 years.
He’s already fallen too far here and is a potential top ten pick. Pac Man has awesome track speed and can contribute immediately as a return guy. Not that the Chiefs would need that with Dante Hall around.
Johnson was the #1 prep DT coming out of HS and failed to live up to his potential until his senior year when he dominated. Jonathan Sullivan is officially a major bust.
The Bengals have two serviceable corners, but Browner can be the shut down guy Marvin Lewis wants. He has amazing speed and turns so well for a guy for 6”4. His feet and ball skills are what makes him so exciting. Don’t be shocked if Browner rises close to the top ten by draft day.
Cody is selected to play inside where he can be great on a dome team with his speed and quickness. Cody is stronger than he appears and plays the run well.
Grant Winstrom hasn’t been replaced. Pollack is a rookie who looks and plays like a vet. He is a Mr Reliable type that should be good for eight sacks per year. He falls here due to his limited upside.
Marcellus Wiley has been a big time bust in
The Jags need a DE far more than any other position after cutting both previous starters earlier this season. James is coming off a big year, but injury risks may make him fall a few spots like Kenechi Udeze did last year.
Talking about needsâ€¦. When did the Ravens last have a dominating receiver. White is the pick here over Williamson because of his experience and being more polished.
Another obvious need based pick. Crowder may also be close to BPA here.
The Packers take a big left end to go opposite KGB. Spears will help immensely vs the run while also generating 7-8 sacks her year.
This was a really tough choice between Hawthorne and CJ Mosley. I decided that
Chad Pennington needs a guy he can just dump the ball off to for a simple 10 yard pass for a first down. Miller can be the kind of safety net that Todd Heap has been for Kyle Boller is
The Falcons take the last left tackle in this draft. Barnes is the fastest OT in this draft running a reported 4.8 forty. At that speed he is perfect for the Alex Gibbs zone blocking system and the Falcons really need help here.
The Colts can move Jason David to nickel and get a stud athlete to start in his place. Miller has awesome speed and will play immediately as a KR/PR. Having a legit #1 corner is essential in a divison with Derrick Mason, Andre Johnson and Jimmy Smith.
The Patriots select the clear #1 guard to help the interior of the OL, which has really struggled this year.
Assuming that Corey Simon leaves in free agency as has been reported the Eagles will need a replacement as it’s a position with little depth. Mosley has idea size, but needs to hit the height room.
Jamaal falls due to not being able to play left tackle, but the Niners won’t let him drop any further. This is a big need for them and Brown provides a big frame with good speed for a man of his size.
In real life the Browns would have most likely moved up for Brown in this scenario. However, even without trading a stud tackle falls to
I can see the Eagles using
The Bucs used a first rounder on a WR last year, but that corps is so old that this year’s second also goes on a WR. Clayton gives them a speedster while huge potential for YPC while Michael Clayton gives them the tough, physical tough who makes the hard yards. It will also confuse the hell out of any announcers.
The Titans take the best available defensive player apart from a few corners, which has been addressed in the first round. Burnett gives the Titans a more athletic LB with legitimate sideline to sideline speed and a real nose for the ball.
The Raiders haven’t been able to find a real starting quality RB since Gruden’s offense left the Bay Area. Fason is pretty quick and can get outside while also runs well between the tackles. Definitely needs work in the weight room.
The Bears have holes all over the offensive line and Baas is the smallest risk available here and my clear #2 guard.
I have Thurman down as the best remaining LB on my board. He has the athleticism to move outside in the pros, which is why the Saints need help.
Shazor is really strong at playing the run and is an excellent athlete. He needs work on his coverage skills and technique, but has huge upside. He fills a key need for the Lions.
A lack of speed and injury concerns has dropped Munoz back to the fortunate Giants. He is probably the last of the second tier of tackles, a position Eli Manning needs desperately.
While the Cardinals need RB depth and a young QB, Webster is the pick here due to value. RB has plenty of depth while there isn’t any really exciting QB. Webster starts immediately in the place of Duane Starks who is a bust. Webster has 4.5 speed, which is adequate, but will be passed by workout warrior types.
Wallace showed real leadership skills playing hard for a
Canty has been banged up the past year and it has dropped him from a first round prospect to the mid to late second round. He doesn’t have much speed, but he has the size and strength to occupy two blockers as a 3-4 DE. He won’t get the Texans many sacks, but he will help shut down the run.
Patterson’s lack of heigh and short arms have damaged his stock. He has a great burst for such a big man really exploding off the snap. He excels vs the run and has a great motor. This is a real steal and will be another cog in the building of the Marvin Lewis defense.
Safety is the biggest need for the Vikings who get their zone picked apart. Pool is a little soft vs the run, but he is very good in pass coverage. He needs to add 10-15 lbs and become tougher. At the moment he is a pussy with huge upside.
Kyle Turley’s career is most likely over so the Rams draft a replacement. That line needs to protect Bulger better if he’s to be able to throw the ball thirty times a game without getting hurt. Johnson is a guard who can move to right tackle due to his balance and strength.
The best kept secret in
The Jags taking DEs in the first two rounds is no mistake. After releasing both starters last year they Jags need to get two new starters from either FA or the draft. With both Roth and James being steals the draft is the way they go. I think Roth could add 10 lbs and start on the left side with James on the right.
Mitchell is one of the biggest linebackers in this draft and can gain even more weight to his impressive frame. His is a bit of a risk due to his injury history, but with Ed Hartwell likely leaving in FA this is an important pick.
Thorpe has become almost the forgotten man of this draft during a quiet senior year. Maybe the broken leg has damaged his playing ability? Either way, he is a likely first or second rounder become he has 4.35 speed, which will make most scouts drool.
Colmer is a kid with all the potential in the world, but having Parsonage-Turner syndrome will absolutely kill his stock sadly. The Bills need an OT and if Colmer’s arm isn’t affected by the virus he will be a steal.
The D-line is the first key rebuilding area for the Broncos. After losing
I feel that Smith is a little overrated by some who have him as a late first rounder, but he is certainly great value in the late second. Smith has average speed and isn’t an amazing blocker, but he just catches the ball. He is the perfect safety net over the middle. He won’t light up workouts, but is extremely reliable.
I’m sure Frye or another QB will go far higher than this, yet clearly behind the top pair. I doubt Frye wows anyone with his workout numbers, but he gives the Packers another option if Favre does decide to retire. At this stage it’s worth the risk.
This guy just manhandled most college linemen and could go as high as the first round after getting on the bench press. This kid is real physical and tough. A real blue collar player. I’m not sure on whether he’d fit the
Castillo gives the Colts more beef in the middle of their defensive line. Every year they’re manhandled by a more physical team in the playoffs and they never seem to learn. If they have any brains they’ll bring in a tougher and more physical tackle.
After addressing their offensive needs early the Chargers turn their attention to the D, and safety in particular. With no 3-4 ends worthy of this pick they look for the final piece in the secondary. Nicholson tries to hit like a train and is pretty good at tackling, which adds to his ability vs the run. He has issues in coverage as USC exposed but is too good to pass up here.
There is noone in the league better at finding untapped potential and turning guys with upside into stars. McFadden needs to get into the weight room and bulk a little or NFL receivers will physically abuse him.
Morrison isn’t flashy and won’t be a workout warrior, but he’s just a flat out football player. I like his instincts and motor even though he lacks ideal speed. The kid is tough and was a captain at SDSU. He’s the David Pollack of the LBs and can start from day one.
TE and DE depth can be addressed later while Blackstock is the last of the proven 3-4 linebackers. He runs a sub 4.7 forty and can get to the QB consistently. He needs to improve vs the run where he can be physically beaten. Overall he is a pretty raw yet exciting prospect who someone will fall in love with and take much earlier than this.
Braylon Edwards, the #1 WR in the 2005 draft
1,330 yard receiving and 15 TDs this year!
Shaun Cody, a two time national champion and #1 3-4 DE